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Start Darren Waller or Noah Gray? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 4:36 PM ET.

Start Darren Waller over Noah Gray

Start

Darren Waller

TE · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
4.7
fantasy pts
DEN D vs TE
16.8
7th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
55 of 100 at TE
Snap share
48%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Noah Gray

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
3.7
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Noah Gray for Darren Waller?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Noah Gray, 4.7 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Darren Waller over Noah Gray in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Darren Waller at 4.7 points and Noah Gray at 3.7, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.7 fantasy points for Darren Waller, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Darren Waller is 19 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 8 and 8 market sources).

That puts Darren Waller 1.0 points ahead of Noah Gray on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Darren Waller and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 16.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 68 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DEN.

Noah Gray and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Darren Waller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Darren Waller is not on the injury report.

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Darren Waller played 48 percent of CAR snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 4 against DET: 40 of 75 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 6 against PHI: 36 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 7 against TB: 25 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 50 yards, 1 touchdown.

Darren Waller, Week 8 against GB: 45 of 73 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Through Week 8, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 4 against LV: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Noah Gray for Darren Waller?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Noah Gray, 4.7 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Noah Gray?

    No. Keep Darren Waller: he projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Darren Waller over Noah Gray, 4.7 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Darren Waller?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board