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Start Evan Engram or Noah Gray? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 6:21 PM ET.

Start

TE · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
4.5
fantasy pts
CAR D vs TE
14.0
14th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at TE
Snap share
54%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
3.7
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 8
Target share
7%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Noah Gray for Evan Engram?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Evan Engram projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Evan Engram over Noah Gray, 4.5 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Evan Engram over Noah Gray in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Evan Engram at 4.5 points and Noah Gray at 3.7, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.5 fantasy points for Evan Engram, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Evan Engram is 19 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 11 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 8 and 8 market sources).

That puts Evan Engram 0.8 points ahead of Noah Gray on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Evan Engram and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 14.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 47 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Noah Gray and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Evan Engram has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Evan Engram is not on the injury report.

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Evan Engram played 54 percent of DEN snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Evan Engram, Week 5 against LAC: 30 of 62 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards.

Evan Engram, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Evan Engram, Week 7 against ARI: 24 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Evan Engram, Week 8 against KC: 30 of 62 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 4 against LV: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Evan Engram played 16 games for DEN and scored 102.8 PPR points, 6.4 a game, finishing TE29.

He caught 50 of 76 targets for 461 yards and 1 touchdown, with 10 red zone targets and 159 air yards.

He was on the field for 42 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Noah Gray for Evan Engram?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Evan Engram projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Evan Engram over Noah Gray, 4.5 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Evan Engram for Noah Gray?

    No. Keep Evan Engram: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Noah Gray 35 (3.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Evan Engram over Noah Gray, 4.5 to 3.7 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board