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Start Fernando Mendoza or Geno Smith? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:21 PM ET.

Start

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
11.7
fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB
11.9
2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
17%
Through Week 5

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Our Week 10 call

Start Geno Smith over Fernando Mendoza in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 15.0 points and Fernando Mendoza at 11.7, a gap of 3.3. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.0, 15.6 and 14.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 11.7 fantasy points for Fernando Mendoza, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Fernando Mendoza is 179 passing yards, 12 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 9 and 8 market sources).

That puts Geno Smith 3.3 points ahead of Fernando Mendoza on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Fernando Mendoza and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 11.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 169 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against SEA, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Fernando Mendoza is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 5, Fernando Mendoza played 17 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 9 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Fernando Mendoza, Week 5 against NE: 10 of 60 snaps, 6 of 8 passes for 48 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board