Start Sam Darnold or Geno Smith? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 2:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
Start Geno Smith over Sam Darnold
Sam Darnold is listed out, so Geno Smith starts despite the lower projection.
- Market projects
- 15.0
- recent weeks avg
- BUF D vs QB
- 19.0
- 10th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 15.4
- recent weeks avg
- LV D vs QB
- 20.6
- 5th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 90%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Geno Smith for Sam Darnold?
Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Geno Smith over Sam Darnold in Week 10.
Sam Darnold is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Geno Smith.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Sam Darnold yet. His market-based projections were 15.1 and 15.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Sam Darnold 0.4 points ahead of Geno Smith on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Sam Darnold and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
LV allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 251 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions a game.
Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Sam Darnold is listed as out with a quadriceps injury.
Geno Smith is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 8, Sam Darnold played 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.
Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.
Sam Darnold, Week 8 against CHI: 63 of 63 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.
Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.
Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.
He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Geno Smith for Sam Darnold?
Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.
Should I drop Sam Darnold for Geno Smith?
Not on these numbers alone. Sam Darnold projects 106 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 7 games) and Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Sam Darnold playing Week 10?
- Is Geno Smith playing Week 10?
- Seahawks depth chart
- Jets depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings