Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Mike Gesicki?

Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 68 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 9 games) and Mike Gesicki 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson, 7.0 to 6.0 projected PPR points.

Start Mike Gesicki or Jake Ferguson? Week 8

Updated Oct 29, 2:21 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson

Start

Mike Gesicki

TE · CIN · vs TEN

Market projects: 7.0; fantasy pts
TEN D vs TE: 10.8; 8th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 72 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 45%; Through Week 7
Target share: 8%; Through Week 7

Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 6.0; fantasy pts
ARI D vs TE: 16.6; 7th most to TEs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 78 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 66%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Mike Gesicki for Jake Ferguson?

Not on these numbers alone. Mike Gesicki projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games) and Jake Ferguson 68 (7.6 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson, 7.0 to 6.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Mike Gesicki at 7.0 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.0, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Mike Gesicki, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Mike Gesicki is 25 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 12 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.0 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 15 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (7, 7 and 10 market sources).

That puts Mike Gesicki 1.0 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Mike Gesicki and CIN host TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 10.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 38 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TEN.

Jake Ferguson and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Mike Gesicki is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Mike Gesicki played 45 percent of CIN snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Gesicki, Week 3 against PIT: 29 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Gesicki, Week 4 against JAX: 47 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Gesicki, Week 5 against MIA: 29 of 65 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Gesicki, Week 7 against BAL: 20 of 53 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson played 66 percent of DAL snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Mike Gesicki played 13 games for CIN and scored 70.7 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing TE41.

He caught 28 of 42 targets for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 244 air yards.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Mike Gesicki for Jake Ferguson?
Not on these numbers alone. Mike Gesicki projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games) and Jake Ferguson 68 (7.6 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson, 7.0 to 6.0 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Mike Gesicki?
Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 68 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.6 a game over 9 games) and Mike Gesicki 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson, 7.0 to 6.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson?Should I drop Mike Gesicki?