Should I drop Tyler Higbee for Jake Ferguson?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Higbee projects 79 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 10 games) and Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson, 9.2 to 6.3 projected PPR points.

Start Tyler Higbee or Jake Ferguson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson

Start

Tyler Higbee

TE · LAR · at LV

Market projects: 9.2; fantasy pts
LV D vs TE: 17.7; 7th most to TEs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
PHI D vs TE: 11.7; 13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 54 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Tyler Higbee?

Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games) and Tyler Higbee 79 (7.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson, 9.2 to 6.3 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyler Higbee at 9.2 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.3, a gap of 2.8.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 12 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Tyler Higbee, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Higbee is 40 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 10 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tyler Higbee 2.8 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

Tyler Higbee and LAR visit LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 17.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 54 yards and a touchdown a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Higbee has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Tyler Higbee is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson played 68 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyler Higbee played 57 percent of LAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Higbee, Week 3 against DEN: 61 of 86 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 62 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Higbee, Week 4 against PHI: 55 of 84 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 67 yards.

Tyler Higbee, Week 5 against BUF: 55 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 83 yards.

Tyler Higbee, Week 6 against ARI: 48 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Higbee played 10 games for LAR and scored 71.1 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing TE40.

He caught 25 of 36 targets for 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 141 air yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Tyler Higbee?
Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games) and Tyler Higbee 79 (7.9 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson, 9.2 to 6.3 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Tyler Higbee for Jake Ferguson?
Not on these numbers alone. Tyler Higbee projects 79 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.9 a game over 10 games) and Jake Ferguson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyler Higbee over Jake Ferguson, 9.2 to 6.3 projected PPR points.