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Start Ja'Kobi Lane or John Metchie III? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 8:51 AM ET.

Start

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
3.9
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
36.9
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
20 of 100 at WR
Snap share
56%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
3.6
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs WR
27.9
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
10 of 100 at WR
Snap share
46%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop John Metchie III for Ja'Kobi Lane?

Not on these numbers alone. John Metchie III projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.7 a game over 9 games) and Ja'Kobi Lane 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over John Metchie III.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Ja'Kobi Lane over John Metchie III in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Ja'Kobi Lane at 3.9 points and John Metchie III at 3.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for John Metchie III this week yet, so his 3.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (3.3 and 3.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Ja'Kobi Lane, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ja'Kobi Lane is 16 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (11, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for John Metchie III yet. His market-based projections were 3.3 and 3.9 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 3.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Ja'Kobi Lane 0.3 points ahead of John Metchie III on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Ja'Kobi Lane and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 36.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 196 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against JAX.

John Metchie III and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 27.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, Ja'Kobi Lane has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ja'Kobi Lane is not on the injury report.

John Metchie III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Ja'Kobi Lane played 56 percent of BAL snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 1 against IND: 27 of 68 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 6 against CLE: 31 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 7 against CIN: 46 of 67 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 8 against BUF: 33 of 51 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Through Week 8, John Metchie III played 46 percent of CAR snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

John Metchie III, Week 7 against TB: 26 of 56 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.

John Metchie III, Week 8 against GB: 33 of 73 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 14 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, John Metchie III played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 134 air yards.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

John Metchie III, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 4 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop John Metchie III for Ja'Kobi Lane?

    Not on these numbers alone. John Metchie III projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (3.7 a game over 9 games) and Ja'Kobi Lane 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over John Metchie III.

  • Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane for John Metchie III?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ja'Kobi Lane projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and John Metchie III 33 (3.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ja'Kobi Lane over John Metchie III.

Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board