Start Luther Burden III or Jameson Williams? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.7; fantasy pts
NE D vs WR: 31.7; 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at WR

Sit

Jameson Williams

WR · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 11.4; fantasy pts
GB D vs WR: 33.0; 13th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 77 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 5
Target share: 15%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Jameson Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jameson Williams projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 11 games), Luther Burden III 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams, 12.7 to 11.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 12.7 points and Jameson Williams at 11.4, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Jameson Williams at 44.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 57 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Jameson Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jameson Williams is 55 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (11, 9 and 13 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 1.3 points ahead of Jameson Williams on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

Jameson Williams and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 33.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 141 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against GB.

By points allowed to the position, Jameson Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Jameson Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Jameson Williams played 90 percent of DET snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Jameson Williams, Week 2 against BUF: 63 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 3 against NYJ: 53 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 49 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 4 against CAR: 70 of 71 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 102 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 5 against ARI: 59 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 47 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Jameson Williams played 17 games for DET and scored 219.9 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR12.

He caught 65 of 102 targets for 1117 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 676 air yards.

He was on the field for 90 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Jameson Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jameson Williams projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 11 games), Luther Burden III 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams, 12.7 to 11.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Jameson Williams for Luther Burden III?
No. Keep Jameson Williams: he projects 125 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 11 games), Luther Burden III 115 (11.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams, 12.7 to 11.4 projected PPR points.