Should I drop Joe Burrow for Dak Prescott?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

Start Dak Prescott or Joe Burrow? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott

Burrow projects lower, 17.4 to 18.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 55 for Burrow, 64 for Prescott.

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs TEN

Market projects: 17.4; recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB: 16.1; 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 72 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 7

Sit

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 18.0; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 22.7; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 17.4 points and Dak Prescott at 18.0, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Joe Burrow still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 55 against 64, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Joe Burrow this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (17.6 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (18.3, 18.3 and 17.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 18.3 and 17.4 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Joe Burrow yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 17.2 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Dak Prescott 0.6 points ahead of Joe Burrow on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 2.4 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Joe Burrow and CIN host TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 246 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 293 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 7, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 236 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 3 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Joe Burrow?
Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.
Should I drop Joe Burrow for Dak Prescott?
Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Dak Prescott.