Start J.K. Dobbins or Ollie Gordon II? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start J.K. Dobbins over Ollie Gordon II

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 13.7; fantasy pts
ARI D vs RB: 20.4; 14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 79 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 5%; Through Week 6

Sit

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), J.K. Dobbins 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Ollie Gordon II, 13.7 to 9.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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J.K. Dobbins rookie cards Ollie Gordon II rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over Ollie Gordon II in Week 7.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 13.7 points and Ollie Gordon II at 9.7, a gap of 4.0. J.K. Dobbins's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on J.K. Dobbins is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.7 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 58 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (12 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts J.K. Dobbins 4.0 points ahead of Ollie Gordon II on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 20.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins played 44 percent of DEN snaps, took 57 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 3 against LAR: 33 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 49 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), J.K. Dobbins 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Ollie Gordon II, 13.7 to 9.7 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for J.K. Dobbins?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), J.K. Dobbins 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over Ollie Gordon II, 13.7 to 9.7 projected PPR points.