Start Ty Johnson or J.K. Dobbins? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 8:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ty Johnson over J.K. Dobbins

Start

Ty Johnson

RB · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects: 8.2; fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB: 18.5; 5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 23 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 23%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Sit

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 6.8; fantasy pts
KC D vs RB: 19.5; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 15 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 41%; Through Week 7
Target share: 5%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Ty Johnson for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 46 (4.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over J.K. Dobbins, 8.2 to 6.8 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ty Johnson over J.K. Dobbins in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ty Johnson at 8.2 points and J.K. Dobbins at 6.8, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Ty Johnson is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Ty Johnson, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 16 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (8, 8 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.8 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 24 rushing yards and 0.3 touchdowns (12 and 13 market sources).

That puts Ty Johnson 1.4 points ahead of J.K. Dobbins on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Ty Johnson and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 15 more yards.

J.K. Dobbins and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 37 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, J.K. Dobbins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Ty Johnson played 23 percent of BUF snaps, took 2 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 3 against LAC: 15 of 66 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 7, J.K. Dobbins played 41 percent of DEN snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 7 against ARI: 14 of 61 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ty Johnson for J.K. Dobbins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 46 (4.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over J.K. Dobbins, 8.2 to 6.8 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Ty Johnson?
No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 46 (4.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ty Johnson over J.K. Dobbins, 8.2 to 6.8 projected PPR points.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?