Start Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 1:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs BAL

Market projects: 23.2; recent weeks avg
BAL D vs QB: 17.3; 16th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs LAC

Market projects: 19.4; recent weeks avg
LAC D vs QB: 15.2; 7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 9 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 149 (16.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.2 points and Matthew Stafford at 19.4, a gap of 3.8. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (22.9 and 23.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 19.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (20.7, 21.1 and 16.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 23 and Matthew Stafford at 75.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 22.9 and 23.6 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 23.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.8 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 20.7, 21.1 and 16.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 19.4, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 3.8 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR host LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAC allowed 15.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 216 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 200 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 7, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 290 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Josh Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 149 (16.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford.
Should I drop Josh Allen for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 232 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 149 (16.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?