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Start Rome Odunze or Josh Downs? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 9:56 AM ET.

Start Rome Odunze over Josh Downs

Start

Rome Odunze

WR · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
10.8
fantasy pts
TB D vs WR
28.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 8
Target share
17%
Through Week 8
Sit

Josh Downs

WR · IND · vs DAL

Market projects
10.3
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR
35.6
7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
92 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 8
Target share
20%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Rome Odunze for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 91 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 8 games), Rome Odunze 76 (9.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Rome Odunze over Josh Downs. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Rome Odunze over Josh Downs in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Rome Odunze at 10.8 points and Josh Downs at 10.3, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 10.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.3, 10.9 and 7.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Rome Odunze at ADP 54 and Josh Downs at 96.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.8 fantasy points for Rome Odunze, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rome Odunze is 51 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 9 and 10 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 12.3, 10.9 and 7.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 10.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 0.3 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Rome Odunze 0.5 points ahead of Josh Downs on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Rome Odunze and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 131 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against TB.

Josh Downs and IND host DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Downs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rome Odunze is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Rome Odunze played 85 percent of CHI snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Rome Odunze, Week 5 against GB: 68 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards.

Rome Odunze, Week 6 against ATL: 74 of 77 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 39 yards.

Rome Odunze, Week 7 against NE: 65 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 69 yards.

Rome Odunze, Week 8 against SEA: 63 of 70 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 87 yards.

Through Week 8, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 46 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rome Odunze played 12 games for CHI and scored 146.1 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR41.

He caught 44 of 90 targets for 661 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 447 air yards.

He was on the field for 82 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rome Odunze for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 91 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 8 games), Rome Odunze 76 (9.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Rome Odunze over Josh Downs. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Rome Odunze?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 91 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 8 games), Rome Odunze 76 (9.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Rome Odunze over Josh Downs.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board