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Start Justice Hill or Khalil Herbert? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Start

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
5.3
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at RB
Snap share
44%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
2.9
recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB
19.8
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
9 of 100 at RB
Snap share
17%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Justice Hill over Khalil Herbert in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 5.3 points and Khalil Herbert at 2.9, a gap of 2.4. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Khalil Herbert this week yet, so his 2.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (2.6 and 3.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Khalil Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 2.6 and 3.2 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 2.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Justice Hill 2.4 points ahead of Khalil Herbert on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Khalil Herbert and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 42 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Khalil Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Khalil Herbert played 17 percent of ATL snaps, took 9 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Khalil Herbert, Week 7 against SF: 11 of 69 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 8 against TB: 10 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 9 against CIN: 11 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Khalil Herbert played 7 games for NYJ and scored 6.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB118.

He ran 16 times for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 4 targets for 4 yards.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board