Start MarShawn Lloyd or Justice Hill? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 3.8 points and Justice Hill at 5.3, a gap of 1.6. MarShawn Lloyd still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 125 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size. MarShawn Lloyd's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.6, 4.8 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on MarShawn Lloyd is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.6, 4.8 and 6.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 3.8 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 13 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 1.6 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

MarShawn Lloyd is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd played 35 percent of GB snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 8 against CAR: 11 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Justice Hill.
• Start Austin Ekeler over Justice Hill.
• Start Corey Kiner over Justice Hill.
• Start Austin Ekeler over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start Devin Singletary over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start MarShawn Lloyd over Jaylen Wright.