Start Tyler Allgeier or Justice Hill? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Tyler Allgeier over Justice Hill in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tyler Allgeier at 8.3 points and Justice Hill at 6.7, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (9.0, 4.3 and 11.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tyler Allgeier at ADP 169 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 9.0, 4.3 and 11.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 0.4 touchdowns (10 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.7 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 15 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (4, 5, 5 and 5 market sources).

That puts Tyler Allgeier 1.7 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 43 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Tyler Allgeier played 55 percent of ARI snaps, took 40 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 48 of 81 snaps, 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 9 against SEA: 51 of 53 snaps, 17 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Justice Hill played 44 percent of BAL snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 7 against CIN: 31 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 8 against BUF: 25 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 9 against JAX: 29 of 56 snaps, 9 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier.
• Start Tyler Allgeier over Austin Ekeler.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Justice Hill.
• Start Austin Ekeler over Justice Hill.
• Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Justice Hill.