Start Justin Jefferson or Nico Collins? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Nico Collins in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 15.5 points and Nico Collins at 15.0, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Nico Collins at 21.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.5 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 73 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 9 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.0 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 70 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 0.5 points ahead of Nico Collins on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 30.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

Nico Collins and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Nico Collins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson played 74 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Nico Collins, Week 5 against TEN: 47 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 6 against JAX: 46 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 5 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 74 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Justin Jefferson over A.J. Brown.
• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Justin Jefferson.
• Start Nico Collins over A.J. Brown.
• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Nico Collins.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Nico Collins.