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Start Luther Burden III or Parker Washington? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
14.8
fantasy pts
TB D vs WR
28.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
78 of 100 at WR
Snap share
61%
Through Week 8
Target share
20%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
13.8
fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR
35.0
8th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
71 of 100 at WR
Snap share
75%
Through Week 8
Target share
25%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Parker Washington?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Parker Washington projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Parker Washington, 14.8 to 13.8 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Luther Burden III over Parker Washington in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 14.8 points and Parker Washington at 13.8, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Parker Washington at 59.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 67 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (8, 6 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.8 fantasy points for Parker Washington, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Parker Washington is 63 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (13, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 1.0 points ahead of Parker Washington on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 131 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against TB.

Parker Washington and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 35.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 178 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Parker Washington has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Parker Washington is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Luther Burden III played 61 percent of CHI snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Luther Burden III, Week 7 against NE: 42 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.

Luther Burden III, Week 8 against SEA: 9 targets and 7 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Parker Washington played 75 percent of JAX snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Parker Washington, Week 4 against CIN: 49 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Parker Washington, Week 5 against PHI: 59 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 124 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Parker Washington, Week 6 against HOU: 52 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 4 catches for 64 yards.

Parker Washington, Week 8 against IND: 36 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Parker Washington played 16 games for JAX and scored 184.7 PPR points, 11.5 a game, finishing WR27.

He caught 58 of 95 targets for 847 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 582 air yards.

He was on the field for 61 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for Parker Washington?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Parker Washington projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Parker Washington, 14.8 to 13.8 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Parker Washington for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep Parker Washington: he projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Parker Washington, 14.8 to 13.8 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Parker Washington?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board