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Start Matthew Golden or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 9:36 AM ET.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Matthew Golden

McMillan projects lower, 14.6 to 15.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 30 for McMillan, 108 for Golden.

Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
14.6
fantasy pts
DEN D vs WR
27.9
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
61 of 100 at WR
Snap share
83%
Through Week 8
Target share
26%
Through Week 8
Sit

Matthew Golden

WR · GB · at NE

Market projects
15.0
fantasy pts
NE D vs WR
33.8
10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at WR
Snap share
84%
Through Week 8
Target share
27%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Matthew Golden for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Matthew Golden 102 (12.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Matthew Golden.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Matthew Golden in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Tetairoa McMillan at 14.6 points and Matthew Golden at 15.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tetairoa McMillan still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 30 against 108, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.0 fantasy points for Matthew Golden, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Golden is 68 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (10, 8 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 67 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (8, 6 and 7 market sources).

That puts Matthew Golden 0.4 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Matthew Golden and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NE.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 27.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Golden has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Matthew Golden is not on the injury report.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Matthew Golden played 84 percent of GB snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 41 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Matthew Golden, Week 5 against CHI: 47 of 61 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 123 yards.

Matthew Golden, Week 6 against DAL: 63 of 75 snaps, 13 targets and 6 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Matthew Golden, Week 7 against DET: 57 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 39 yards.

Matthew Golden, Week 8 against CAR: 59 of 69 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Tetairoa McMillan played 83 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 7 against TB: 38 of 56 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 8 against GB: 65 of 73 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Matthew Golden played 14 games for GB and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.

He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 260 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Matthew Golden for Tetairoa McMillan?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Matthew Golden 102 (12.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Matthew Golden.

  • Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Matthew Golden?

    No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 132 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 9 games), Matthew Golden 102 (12.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Matthew Golden.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board