Start Michael Wilson or Zay Flowers? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Zay Flowers over Michael Wilson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 10.5 points and Michael Wilson at 12.7, a gap of 2.2. Zay Flowers still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 23 against 77, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Michael Wilson this week yet, so his 12.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (13.4, 11.5 and 13.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Michael Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 13.4, 11.5 and 13.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 45 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Michael Wilson 2.2 points ahead of Zay Flowers on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Michael Wilson and ARI visit SEA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SEA allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 92 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Zay Flowers and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 38.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 210 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Wilson is listed as questionable with a ribs injury.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Michael Wilson played 90 percent of ARI snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 40 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 5 against DET: 61 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 6 against LAR: 66 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 7 against DEN: 73 of 81 snaps, 2 carries for 11 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 8 against DAL: 1 carry for 17 yards, 15 targets and 8 catches for 111 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers played 65 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Michael Wilson over A.J. Brown.
• Start Christian Watson over Michael Wilson.
• Start Michael Wilson over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Zay Flowers over Chris Godwin Jr..
• Start Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton.
• Start Zay Flowers over Darius Cooper.