Start Ollie Gordon II or Tyler Allgeier? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ollie Gordon II over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 8.3; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB: 23.3; 9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 61 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Tyler Allgeier 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Tyler Allgeier.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over Tyler Allgeier in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.3, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.2, 6.8 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.2, 6.8 and 11.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 0.4 touchdowns (10 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 1.4 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 33 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier played 51 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Tyler Allgeier 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Tyler Allgeier.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Tyler Allgeier?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Tyler Allgeier 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Tyler Allgeier.