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Start Tyler Allgeier or Rico Dowdle? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:21 AM ET.

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
9.8
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at RB
Snap share
40%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs LAR

Market projects
8.3
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB
19.9
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
7%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Rico Dowdle rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 9.8 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.3, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (9.0, 4.3 and 11.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 14 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 10, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 9.0, 4.3 and 11.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 1.5 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 43 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle played 40 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 8 against CLE: 28 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Tyler Allgeier played 55 percent of ARI snaps, took 40 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 48 of 81 snaps, 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 9 against SEA: 51 of 53 snaps, 17 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyler Allgeier?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board