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Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Tee Higgins? No, Jones is worth 13 more.

No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 58 rest of season and Tee Higgins 45, so giving up Jones costs 13. Jones rates 14.1 market points a game with 10 games left, Higgins 13.6 with 10. On usage, Jones has 30 percent of MIN carries and 4 percent of its targets; Higgins has drawn 23 percent of CIN targets. Jones is at DET in Week 8 (10th fewest points allowed to RBs); Higgins hosts TEN in Week 8 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (undisclosed).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 13.

Aaron Jones Sr. 5845 Tee Higgins

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RB15MINQuestionable

58

value, #26

Pts/game
14.1
Games left
10
Bye
6
Aaron Jones Sr. weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.117.416.5no projection11.63.6

45

value, #36

Pts/game
13.6
Games left
10
Bye
6
Tee Higgins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.313.64.1no projection13.916.0

Where the values come from

Jones is the 15th running back on the chart and 26th overall. His 14.1 a game is 5.8 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.

Higgins is the 17th receiver on the chart and 36th overall. His 13.6 a game is 4.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 45.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 16.5 in Week 5, 11.6 in Week 7 and 3.6 in Week 8, a median of 14.1 points a game, down 10.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tee Higgins at 12.3 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 4.1 in Week 5, 13.9 in Week 7 and 16.0 in Week 8, a median of 13.6 points a game, up 3.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 73.8 PPR points in 6 games, 12.3 a game, 1.8 a game less than the 14.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries.

Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards.

Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB7 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Week 7 vs IND: 3.6 points (RB55 that week), 26 rushing yards on 8 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 25 percent of snaps.

Tee Higgins has scored 102.1 PPR points in 6 games, 17.0 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 13.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR15 with 211.6 PPR points in 15 games, 14.1 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 8.9 points (WR42 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 59 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 14.5 points (WR19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 95 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 21.0 points (WR8 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 26.7 points (WR6 that week), 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 4.2 points (WR72 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs BAL: 26.8 points (WR3 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards, 1 touchdown, 87 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 8.0 carries for 26 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 0 yards a game on 25 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 20 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 1 game.

In Week 7 against IND he had 8 carries and 1 target on 25 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Tee Higgins has averaged 8.3 targets and 5-6 catches for 95 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against BAL he had 7 targets on 87 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 10 games in it with no bye left; Tee Higgins has 10 games with no bye left.

DET, Jones's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.8 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest to RBs of 32.

TEN, Higgins's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tee Higgins would want about 13 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Tee Higgins?

    No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 58 and Tee Higgins 45, a loss of 13. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Tee Higgins?

    Aaron Jones Sr., 58 to 45. He rates 14.1 market points a game over 10 games left, against 13.6 over 10 for Tee Higgins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 4:31 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number