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Trade Justin Jefferson for Tee Higgins? No, Jefferson is worth 18 more.

No on value. Justin Jefferson is worth 63 rest of season and Tee Higgins 45, so giving up Jefferson costs 18. Jefferson rates 15.4 market points a game with 10 games left, Higgins 13.6 with 10. On usage, Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets; Higgins has drawn 23 percent of CIN targets. Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs); Higgins hosts TEN in Week 8 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Justin Jefferson wins by 18.

Justin Jefferson 6345 Tee Higgins

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Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Tee Higgins

WR17CIN

45

value, #36

Pts/game
13.6
Games left
10
Bye
6
Tee Higgins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.313.64.1no projection13.916.0

Where the values come from

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

Higgins is the 17th receiver on the chart and 36th overall. His 13.6 a game is 4.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 45.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tee Higgins at 12.3 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 4.1 in Week 5, 13.9 in Week 7 and 16.0 in Week 8, a median of 13.6 points a game, up 3.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Tee Higgins has scored 102.1 PPR points in 6 games, 17.0 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 13.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR15 with 211.6 PPR points in 15 games, 14.1 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 8.9 points (WR42 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 59 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 14.5 points (WR19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 95 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 21.0 points (WR8 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 26.7 points (WR6 that week), 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 4.2 points (WR72 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs BAL: 26.8 points (WR3 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards, 1 touchdown, 87 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Tee Higgins has averaged 8.3 targets and 5-6 catches for 95 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against BAL he had 7 targets on 87 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Justin Jefferson has 10 games in it with no bye left; Tee Higgins has 10 games with no bye left.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

TEN, Higgins's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tee Higgins would want about 18 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 18. Two players for Jefferson also costs that side a roster spot.

Tucker Kraft's player page

Other trades for Justin Jefferson and Tee Higgins

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Justin Jefferson for Tee Higgins?

    No on value: Justin Jefferson is worth 63 and Tee Higgins 45, a loss of 18. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jefferson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Justin Jefferson or Tee Higgins?

    Justin Jefferson, 63 to 45. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 10 games left, against 13.6 over 10 for Tee Higgins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 4:31 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number