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Trade Ashton Jeanty for Christian Watson? No, Jeanty is worth 22 more.

No on value. Ashton Jeanty is worth 78 rest of season and Christian Watson 56, so giving up Jeanty costs 22. Jeanty rates 16.2 market points a game with 10 games left, Watson 14.7 with 10. On usage, Jeanty has 66 percent of LV carries and 17 percent of its targets; Watson has drawn 22 percent of GB targets. Jeanty hosts LAR in Week 7 (12th fewest points allowed to RBs); Watson is at DET in Week 7 (2nd most points allowed to WRs). Christian Watson is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Ashton Jeanty wins by 22.

Ashton Jeanty 7856 Christian Watson

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78

value, #15

Pts/game
16.2
Games left
10
Bye
13
Ashton Jeanty weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
16.716.216.516.215.6

WR12GBQuestionable

56

value, #30

Pts/game
14.7
Games left
10
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.713.913.015.314.9

Where the values come from

Jeanty is the 9th running back on the chart and 15th overall. His 16.2 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 78.

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.7 a game is 5.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 56.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Ashton Jeanty at 16.7 in Week 3, 16.2 in Week 4, 16.5 in Week 5, 16.2 in Week 6 and 15.6 in Week 7, a median of 16.2 points a game, down 1.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6 and 14.9 in Week 7, a median of 14.7 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Ashton Jeanty has scored 100.4 PPR points in 6 games, 16.7 a game, 0.5 a game more than the 16.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB11 with 245.1 PPR points in 17 games, 14.4 a game.

Week 1 vs MIA: 32.7 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 23 carries, 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAC: 10.3 points (RB23 that week), 48 rushing yards on 21 carries, 4 of 7 targets for 15 yards, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NO: 12.3 points (RB18 that week), 56 rushing yards on 19 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 37 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs KC: 18.6 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 15 carries, 6 of 8 targets for 68 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NE: 10.7 points (RB27 that week), 27 rushing yards on 10 carries, 3 of 6 targets for 50 yards, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs BUF: 15.8 points (RB9 that week), 22 rushing yards on 10 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 36 yards, 1 touchdown, 58 percent of snaps.

Christian Watson has scored 118.8 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 5.1 a game more than the 14.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Ashton Jeanty has averaged 16.3 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 4.3 catches for 42 yards a game on 70 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 26 times inside the 20, 44 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against BUF he had 10 carries and 6 targets on 58 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.8 catches for 90 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against DAL he had 8 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Ashton Jeanty has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Christian Watson has 10 games with his bye in Week 11.

LAR, Jeanty's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 19.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 12th fewest to RBs of 32.

DET, Watson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 41.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 22 more added to make it even: a player like Jeremiyah Love, valued at 23. Two players for Jeanty also costs that side a roster spot.

Jeremiyah Love's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Ashton Jeanty for Christian Watson?

    No on value: Ashton Jeanty is worth 78 and Christian Watson 56, a loss of 22. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jeanty.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Ashton Jeanty or Christian Watson?

    Ashton Jeanty, 78 to 56. He rates 16.2 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.7 over 10 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:21 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number