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Trade Christian Watson for Javonte Williams? Yes, Williams is worth 21 more.

Yes on value. Javonte Williams is worth 77 rest of season and Christian Watson 56, so the side getting Williams gains 21. Watson rates 14.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Williams 16.1 with 10. On usage, Watson has drawn 22 percent of GB targets; Williams has 70 percent of DAL carries and 9 percent of its targets. Watson is at DET in Week 7 (2nd most points allowed to WRs); Williams is at PHI in Week 7 (16th fewest points allowed to RBs). Christian Watson is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Javonte Williams wins by 21.

Christian Watson 5677 Javonte Williams

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Christian Watson

WR12GBQuestionable

56

value, #30

Pts/game
14.7
Games left
10
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.713.913.015.314.9

Javonte Williams

RB10DAL

77

value, #17

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
10
Bye
14
Javonte Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
15.714.617.317.516.1

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.7 a game is 5.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 56.

Williams is the 10th running back on the chart and 17th overall. His 16.1 a game is 7.7 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 77.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6 and 14.9 in Week 7, a median of 14.7 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4, 17.3 in Week 5, 17.5 in Week 6 and 16.1 in Week 7, a median of 16.1 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 118.8 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 5.1 a game more than the 14.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Javonte Williams has scored 109.0 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 2.1 a game more than the 16.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB18 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.0 points (RB17 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.8 catches for 90 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against DAL he had 8 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Javonte Williams has averaged 14.2 carries for 53 yards and 3.7 targets and 3.2 catches for 17 yards a game on 76 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 27 times inside the 20, 40 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 8 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against GB he had 11 carries and 2 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Javonte Williams has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

DET, Watson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 41.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most to WRs of 32.

PHI, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 20.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 21 more added to make it even: a player like Michael Wilson, valued at 21. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Michael Wilson's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Javonte Williams

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Javonte Williams?

    Yes on value: Javonte Williams is worth 77 and Christian Watson 56, a gain of 21. If Christian Watson starts for you and Javonte Williams would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Javonte Williams?

    Javonte Williams, 77 to 56. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.7 over 10 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:16 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number