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Trade Christian Watson for James Cook III? Yes, Cook is worth 21 more.

Yes on value. James Cook III is worth 76 rest of season and Christian Watson 55, so the side getting Cook gains 21. Watson rates 14.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Cook 16.0 with 10. On usage, Watson has drawn 22 percent of GB targets; Cook has 70 percent of BUF carries and 9 percent of its targets. Watson is at DET in Week 7 (2nd most points allowed to WRs); Cook is on bye in Week 7. Christian Watson is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting James Cook III wins by 21.

Christian Watson 5576 James Cook III

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Christian Watson

WR12GBQuestionable

55

value, #30

Pts/game
14.7
Games left
10
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.713.913.015.314.9

James Cook III

RB10BUF

76

value, #17

Pts/game
16.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
James Cook III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
16.215.814.417.0no projection

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.7 a game is 5.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 55.

Cook is the 10th running back on the chart and 17th overall. His 16.0 a game is 7.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 76.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6 and 14.9 in Week 7, a median of 14.7 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had James Cook III at 16.2 in Week 3, 15.8 in Week 4, 14.4 in Week 5 and 17.0 in Week 6, a median of 16.0 points a game, up 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 118.8 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 5.1 a game more than the 14.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

James Cook III has scored 113.6 PPR points in 6 games, 18.9 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 16.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB6 with 302.2 PPR points in 17 games, 17.8 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 9.9 points (RB27 that week), 57 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 20.9 points (RB5 that week), 135 rushing yards on 21 carries, 1 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.4 points (RB9 that week), 154 rushing yards on 24 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 16.3 points (RB19 that week), 75 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 1 touchdown, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 22.8 points (RB4 that week), 111 rushing yards on 25 carries, 1 of 1 target for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 24.3 points (RB4 that week), 95 rushing yards on 22 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 58 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.8 catches for 90 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against DAL he had 8 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, James Cook III has averaged 19-20 carries for 105 yards and 2.3 targets and 1.7 catches for 15 yards a game on 67 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 24 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 22 carries and 3 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 11; James Cook III has 10 games with his bye in Week 7.

DET, Watson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 41.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 21 more added to make it even: a player like David Montgomery, valued at 21. Two players for Cook also costs that side a roster spot.

David Montgomery's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and James Cook III

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for James Cook III?

    Yes on value: James Cook III is worth 76 and Christian Watson 55, a gain of 21. If Christian Watson starts for you and James Cook III would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or James Cook III?

    James Cook III, 76 to 55. He rates 16.0 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.7 over 10 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number