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Trade Bucky Irving for Luther Burden III? No, Irving is worth 10 more.

No on value. Bucky Irving is worth 33 rest of season and Luther Burden III 23, so giving up Irving costs 10. Irving rates 11.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Burden 11.5 with 10. On usage, Irving has 61 percent of TB carries and 11 percent of its targets; Burden has drawn 22 percent of CHI targets. Irving is at CAR in Week 7 (5th most points allowed to RBs); Burden hosts NE in Week 7 (16th fewest points allowed to WRs). Bucky Irving is listed Questionable (illness).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Bucky Irving wins by 10.

Bucky Irving 3323 Luther Burden III

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RB21TBQuestionable

33

value, #45

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
10
Bucky Irving weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.912.311.511.710.3

23

value, #54

Pts/game
11.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
4.811.311.511.912.7

Where the values come from

Irving is the 21st running back on the chart and 45th overall. His 11.7 a game is 3.3 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 33.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 54th overall. His 11.5 a game is 2.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 23.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Bucky Irving at 12.9 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 10.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4, 11.5 in Week 5, 11.9 in Week 6 and 12.7 in Week 7, a median of 11.5 points a game, up 7.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Bucky Irving has scored 85.6 PPR points in 6 games, 14.3 a game, 2.6 a game more than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB34 with 138.5 PPR points in 10 games, 13.9 a game.

Week 1 vs CIN: 20.3 points (RB12 that week), 45 rushing yards on 8 carries, 7 of 7 targets for 48 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CLE: 13.0 points (RB15 that week), 89 rushing yards on 17 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 1 yards, 78 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIN: 7.8 points (RB35 that week), 46 rushing yards on 15 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs GB: 6.1 points (RB42 that week), 61 rushing yards on 16 carries, 58 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DAL: 31.5 points (RB3 that week), 165 rushing yards on 21 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs PIT: 6.9 points (RB34 that week), 46 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 3 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Luther Burden III has scored 73.3 PPR points in 6 games, 12.2 a game, 0.7 a game more than the 11.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR41 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 17.5 points (WR14 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Bucky Irving has averaged 16.0 carries for 75 yards and 3-4 targets and 2.8 catches for 12 yards a game on 65 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 19 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against PIT he had 19 carries and 3 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has averaged 1.2 carries for 4 yards and 7.2 targets and 5.2 catches for 60 yards a game on 60 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 11 times inside the 20, 12 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against ATL he had 8 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Bucky Irving has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Luther Burden III has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

CAR, Irving's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 25.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most to RBs of 32.

NE, Burden's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 31.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Irving also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Bucky Irving for Luther Burden III?

    No on value: Bucky Irving is worth 33 and Luther Burden III 23, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Irving.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Bucky Irving or Luther Burden III?

    Bucky Irving, 33 to 23. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 11.5 over 10 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number