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Trade Chase Brown for Javonte Williams? Close to even, 90 to 86.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Chase Brown is 90 and Javonte Williams is 86, a 4 point edge to Brown that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Williams 15.7 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Williams has 66 percent of DAL carries and 12 percent of its targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Williams is at GB in Week 6 (2nd most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Chase Brown 9086 Javonte Williams

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

Javonte Williams

RB13DAL

86

value, #19

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
14
Javonte Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
15.714.617.3

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Williams is the 13th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.7 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 86.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4 and 17.3 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Javonte Williams has scored 96.0 PPR points in 5 games, 19.2 a game, 3.5 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB15 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Javonte Williams has averaged 15.5 carries for 58 yards and 4.3 targets and 3.8 catches for 19 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 46 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against HOU he had 19 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Javonte Williams has 11 games with his bye in Week 14.

GB, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 29.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.

Other trades for Chase Brown and Javonte Williams

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Javonte Williams?

    It is close to even: Chase Brown is 90 and Javonte Williams is 86 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Javonte Williams?

    Chase Brown, 90 to 86. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Javonte Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number