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Trade Christian Watson for George Kittle? No, Watson is worth 12 more.

No on value. Christian Watson is worth 56 rest of season and George Kittle 44, so giving up Watson costs 12. Watson rates 14.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Kittle 13.8 with 10. On usage, Watson has drawn 22 percent of GB targets; Kittle has drawn 22 percent of SF targets. Watson is at DET in Week 7 (2nd most points allowed to WRs); Kittle is at ATL in Week 7 (11th most points allowed to TEs). Christian Watson is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Christian Watson wins by 12.

Christian Watson 5644 George Kittle

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WR12GBQuestionable

56

value, #30

Pts/game
14.7
Games left
10
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.713.913.015.314.9

44

value, #36

Pts/game
13.8
Games left
10
Bye
8
George Kittle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
2.613.812.415.515.5

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.7 a game is 5.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 56.

Kittle is the 3rd tight end on the chart and 36th overall. His 13.8 a game is 4.4 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 44.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6 and 14.9 in Week 7, a median of 14.7 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had George Kittle at 2.6 in Week 3, 13.8 in Week 4, 12.4 in Week 5, 15.5 in Week 6 and 15.5 in Week 7, a median of 13.8 points a game, up 12.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 118.8 PPR points in 6 games, 19.8 a game, 5.1 a game more than the 14.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

George Kittle has scored 89.7 PPR points in 6 games, 15.0 a game, 1.2 a game more than the 13.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE13 with 161.5 PPR points in 11 games, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs LAR: 3.2 points (TE41 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 12 yards, 46 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIA: 18.0 points (TE7 that week), 4 of 4 targets for 80 yards, 1 touchdown, 48 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ARI: 26.2 points (TE2 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 82 yards, 2 touchdowns, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DEN: 17.0 points (TE4 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 70 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs SEA: 7.4 points (TE22 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 24 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs WAS: 17.9 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 69 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.8 catches for 90 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against DAL he had 8 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, George Kittle has averaged 6.0 targets and 4.3 catches for 56 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against WAS he had 8 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 11; George Kittle has 10 games with his bye in Week 8.

DET, Watson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 41.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most to WRs of 32.

ATL, Kittle's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 15.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th most to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting George Kittle would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Watson also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for George Kittle?

    No on value: Christian Watson is worth 56 and George Kittle 44, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a tight end more than it needs Watson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or George Kittle?

    Christian Watson, 56 to 44. He rates 14.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 13.8 over 10 for George Kittle, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:21 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number