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Trade Christian Watson for Malik Nabers? No, Watson is worth 14 more.

No on value. Christian Watson is worth 51 rest of season and Malik Nabers 37, so giving up Watson costs 14. Watson rates 14.8 market points a game with 9 games left, Nabers 13.2 with 9. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Nabers has drawn 30 percent of NYG targets. Watson hosts CAR in Week 8 (6th fewest points allowed to WRs); Nabers is on bye in Week 8. Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Christian Watson wins by 14.

Christian Watson 5137 Malik Nabers

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Christian Watson

WR12GB

51

value, #30

Pts/game
14.8
Games left
9
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.713.913.015.314.914.8

Malik Nabers

WR20NYG

37

value, #43

Pts/game
13.2
Games left
9
Bye
8
Malik Nabers weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.012.413.215.414.5no projection

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.8 a game is 5.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 51.

Nabers is the 20th receiver on the chart and 43rd overall. His 13.2 a game is 4.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 37.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6, 14.9 in Week 7 and 14.8 in Week 8, a median of 14.8 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Malik Nabers at 12.0 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4, 13.2 in Week 5, 15.4 in Week 6 and 14.5 in Week 7, a median of 13.2 points a game, up 2.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 129.5 PPR points in 7 games, 18.5 a game, 3.7 a game more than the 14.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DET: 10.7 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards, 81 percent of snaps.

Malik Nabers has scored 120.5 PPR points in 7 games, 17.2 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 13.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR101 with 57.1 PPR points in 4 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 12.9 points (WR26 that week), 6 of 9 targets for 69 yards, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 1.1 points (WR116 that week), 1 of 4 targets for 1 yards, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 7.6 points (WR57 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 26 yards, 78 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 23.2 points (WR10 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 112 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 29.1 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 20 targets for 121 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 28.5 points (WR1 that week), 12 of 15 targets for 165 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs HOU: 18.1 points (WR15 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 111 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.9 catches for 85 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 9 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DET he had 8 targets on 81 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Malik Nabers has averaged 10.0 targets and 6.9 catches for 86 yards a game on 76 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against HOU he had 9 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Malik Nabers has 9 games with his bye in Week 8.

CAR, Watson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 27.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Malik Nabers would want about 14 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 14. Two players for Watson also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Christian Watson and Malik Nabers

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Malik Nabers?

    No on value: Christian Watson is worth 51 and Malik Nabers 37, a loss of 14. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Watson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Malik Nabers?

    Christian Watson, 51 to 37. He rates 14.8 market points a game over 9 games left, against 13.2 over 9 for Malik Nabers, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number