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Trade Christian Watson for Trey McBride? Yes, McBride is worth 17 more.

Yes on value. Trey McBride is worth 68 rest of season and Christian Watson 51, so the side getting McBride gains 17. Watson rates 14.8 market points a game with 9 games left, McBride 17.0 with 9. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; McBride has drawn 29 percent of ARI targets. Watson hosts CAR in Week 8 (6th fewest points allowed to WRs); McBride is at DAL in Week 8 (14th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Trey McBride wins by 17.

Christian Watson 5168 Trey McBride

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51

value, #30

Pts/game
14.8
Games left
9
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.713.913.015.314.914.8

68

value, #22

Pts/game
17.0
Games left
9
Bye
14
Trey McBride weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
16.317.119.316.616.918.9

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.8 a game is 5.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 51.

McBride is the 1st tight end on the chart and 22nd overall. His 17.0 a game is 7.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 68.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6, 14.9 in Week 7 and 14.8 in Week 8, a median of 14.8 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Trey McBride at 16.3 in Week 3, 17.1 in Week 4, 19.3 in Week 5, 16.6 in Week 6, 16.9 in Week 7 and 18.9 in Week 8, a median of 17.0 points a game, up 2.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 129.5 PPR points in 7 games, 18.5 a game, 3.7 a game more than the 14.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DET: 10.7 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards, 81 percent of snaps.

Trey McBride has scored 130.2 PPR points in 7 games, 18.6 a game, 1.6 a game more than the 17.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE1 with 315.9 PPR points in 17 games, 18.6 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 24.5 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 18.1 points (TE6 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 16.5 points (TE8 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 10.1 points (TE19 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 31 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 21.6 points (TE3 that week), 9 of 10 targets for 66 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 12.3 points (TE13 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 53 yards, 97 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DEN: 27.1 points (TE1 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 111 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.9 catches for 85 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 9 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DET he had 8 targets on 81 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Trey McBride has averaged 11.1 targets and 8.4 catches for 67 yards a game on 91 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 17 times inside the 20, 18 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DEN he had 13 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Trey McBride has 9 games with his bye in Week 14.

CAR, Watson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 27.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to WRs of 32.

DAL, McBride's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 12.4 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 14th fewest to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Drake Maye, valued at 17. Two players for McBride also costs that side a roster spot.

Drake Maye's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Trey McBride?

    Yes on value: Trey McBride is worth 68 and Christian Watson 51, a gain of 17. If Christian Watson starts for you and Trey McBride would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Trey McBride?

    Trey McBride, 68 to 51. He rates 17.0 market points a game over 9 games left, against 14.8 over 9 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number