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Trade Christian Watson for D'Andre Swift? Yes, Swift is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. D'Andre Swift is worth 63 rest of season and Christian Watson 51, so the side getting Swift gains 12. Watson rates 14.8 market points a game with 9 games left, Swift 15.3 with 9. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; Swift has 49 percent of CHI carries and 11 percent of its targets. Watson hosts CAR in Week 8 (6th fewest points allowed to WRs); Swift is at SEA in Week 8 (15th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting D'Andre Swift wins by 12.

Christian Watson 5163 D'Andre Swift

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51

value, #30

Pts/game
14.8
Games left
9
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.713.913.015.314.914.8

63

value, #25

Pts/game
15.3
Games left
9
Bye
10
D'Andre Swift weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
8.015.714.817.616.34.4

Where the values come from

Watson is the 12th receiver on the chart and 30th overall. His 14.8 a game is 5.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 51.

Swift is the 14th running back on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.3 a game is 7.0 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4, 13.0 in Week 5, 15.3 in Week 6, 14.9 in Week 7 and 14.8 in Week 8, a median of 14.8 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had D'Andre Swift at 8.0 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4, 14.8 in Week 5, 17.6 in Week 6, 16.3 in Week 7 and 4.4 in Week 8, a median of 15.3 points a game, down 3.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 129.5 PPR points in 7 games, 18.5 a game, 3.7 a game more than the 14.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 9.4 points (WR39 that week), 3 of 8 targets for 64 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DET: 10.7 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 57 yards, 81 percent of snaps.

D'Andre Swift has scored 122.8 PPR points in 7 games, 17.5 a game, 2.2 a game more than the 15.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB15 with 228.6 PPR points in 16 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 32.4 points (RB5 that week), 124 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 of 1 target for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 12.9 points (RB16 that week), 45 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 54 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 10.8 points (RB23 that week), 84 rushing yards on 20 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 7.4 points (RB37 that week), 58 rushing yards on 15 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 16 yards, 35 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 17.3 points (RB11 that week), 43 rushing yards on 9 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 30 yards, 1 touchdown, 58 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 23.0 points (RB5 that week), 44 rushing yards on 16 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 26 yards, 2 touchdowns, 58 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs NE: 19.0 points (RB11 that week), 78 rushing yards on 22 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 1 touchdown, 86 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 4.9 catches for 85 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 9 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DET he had 8 targets on 81 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, D'Andre Swift has averaged 16.6 carries for 68 yards and 3.6 targets and 3.1 catches for 22 yards a game on 60 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 30 times inside the 20, 31 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against NE he had 22 carries and 4 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; D'Andre Swift has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

CAR, Watson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 27.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to WRs of 32.

SEA, Swift's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 20.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Christian Watson would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Swift also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for D'Andre Swift?

    Yes on value: D'Andre Swift is worth 63 and Christian Watson 51, a gain of 12. If Christian Watson starts for you and D'Andre Swift would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or D'Andre Swift?

    D'Andre Swift, 63 to 51. He rates 15.3 market points a game over 9 games left, against 14.8 over 9 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number