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Trade Dak Prescott for Dalton Kincaid? Yes, Kincaid is worth 9 more.

Yes on value. Dalton Kincaid is worth 23 rest of season and Dak Prescott 14, so the side getting Kincaid gains 9. Prescott rates 18.2 market points a game with 9 games left, Kincaid 11.7 with 10. On usage, Prescott has thrown 39.0 passes and run 2.3 times a game; Kincaid has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets. Prescott hosts ARI in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to QBs); Kincaid hosts BAL in Week 8 (13th fewest points allowed to TEs). Dalton Kincaid is listed Questionable (chest).

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Dalton Kincaid wins by 9.

Dak Prescott 1423 Dalton Kincaid

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14

value, #69

Pts/game
18.2
Games left
9
Bye
14
Dak Prescott weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
17.818.022.018.317.522.3

TE6BUFQuestionable

23

value, #54

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
7
Dalton Kincaid weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.312.311.711.7no projection10.5

Where the values come from

Prescott is the 5th quarterback on the chart and 69th overall. His 18.2 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.7, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 14.

Kincaid is the 6th tight end on the chart and 54th overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.3 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 23.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dak Prescott at 17.8 in Week 3, 18.0 in Week 4, 22.0 in Week 5, 18.3 in Week 6, 17.5 in Week 7 and 22.3 in Week 8, a median of 18.2 points a game, up 4.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.7 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 10.5 in Week 8, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 1.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dak Prescott has scored 133.1 PPR points in 7 games, 19.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 18.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB6 with 323.8 PPR points in 17 games, 19.0 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (QB19 that week), 175 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 14 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 29.8 points (QB3 that week), 279 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 26 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.9 points (QB19 that week), 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 19 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 18.1 points (QB12 that week), 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.6 points (QB17 that week), 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.0 points (QB20 that week), 258 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs PHI: 23.3 points (QB6 that week), 212 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 8 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Dalton Kincaid has scored 60.5 PPR points in 6 games, 10.1 a game, 1.6 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 3.7 points (TE38 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 10.8 points (TE16 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott has averaged 39.0 attempts, 264 passing yards and 1.9 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 7 against PHI he went 15 of 27 for 212 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 53 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 8 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Dak Prescott has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Dalton Kincaid has 10 games with no bye left.

ARI, Prescott's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 22.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most to QBs of 32.

BAL, Kincaid's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 12.3 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Dak Prescott would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Malik Washington, valued at 9. Two players for Kincaid also costs that side a roster spot.

Malik Washington's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dak Prescott for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes on value: Dalton Kincaid is worth 23 and Dak Prescott 14, a gain of 9. If Dak Prescott starts for you and Dalton Kincaid would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dak Prescott or Dalton Kincaid?

    Dalton Kincaid, 23 to 14. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 18.2 over 9 for Dak Prescott, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number