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Trade Dak Prescott for Travis Kelce? Yes, Kelce is worth 11 more.

Yes on value. Travis Kelce is worth 25 rest of season and Dak Prescott 14, so the side getting Kelce gains 11. Prescott rates 18.2 market points a game with 9 games left, Kelce 11.9 with 10. On usage, Prescott has thrown 39.0 passes and run 2.3 times a game; Kelce has drawn 20 percent of KC targets. Prescott hosts ARI in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to QBs); Kelce is at DEN in Week 8 (9th most points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Travis Kelce wins by 11.

Dak Prescott 1425 Travis Kelce

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Dak Prescott

QB5DAL

14

value, #69

Pts/game
18.2
Games left
9
Bye
14
Dak Prescott weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
17.818.022.018.317.522.3

Travis Kelce

TE4KC

25

value, #50

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
10
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.611.9no projection12.711.111.2

Where the values come from

Prescott is the 5th quarterback on the chart and 69th overall. His 18.2 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.7, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 14.

Kelce is the 4th tight end on the chart and 50th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.5 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dak Prescott at 17.8 in Week 3, 18.0 in Week 4, 22.0 in Week 5, 18.3 in Week 6, 17.5 in Week 7 and 22.3 in Week 8, a median of 18.2 points a game, up 4.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3, 11.9 in Week 4, 12.7 in Week 6, 11.1 in Week 7 and 11.2 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, down 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dak Prescott has scored 133.1 PPR points in 7 games, 19.0 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 18.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB6 with 323.8 PPR points in 17 games, 19.0 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (QB19 that week), 175 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 14 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 29.8 points (QB3 that week), 279 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 26 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.9 points (QB19 that week), 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 19 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 18.1 points (QB12 that week), 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.6 points (QB17 that week), 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.0 points (QB20 that week), 258 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs PHI: 23.3 points (QB6 that week), 212 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 8 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Travis Kelce has scored 70.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 9.3 points (TE18 that week), 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs SEA: 8.4 points (TE20 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott has averaged 39.0 attempts, 264 passing yards and 1.9 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 7 against PHI he went 15 of 27 for 212 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 7, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.8 targets and 4.0 catches for 57 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against SEA he had 8 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Dak Prescott has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Travis Kelce has 10 games with no bye left.

ARI, Prescott's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 22.7 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most to QBs of 32.

DEN, Kelce's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 16.0 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 9th most to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Dak Prescott would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Isaiah Likely, valued at 10. Two players for Kelce also costs that side a roster spot.

Isaiah Likely's player page

Other trades for Dak Prescott and Travis Kelce

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dak Prescott for Travis Kelce?

    Yes on value: Travis Kelce is worth 25 and Dak Prescott 14, a gain of 11. If Dak Prescott starts for you and Travis Kelce would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dak Prescott or Travis Kelce?

    Travis Kelce, 25 to 14. He rates 11.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 18.2 over 9 for Dak Prescott, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 12:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number