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Trade DeVonta Smith for Josh Allen? Yes, Allen is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. Josh Allen is worth 69 rest of season and DeVonta Smith 57, so the side getting Allen gains 12. Smith rates 14.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Smith hosts CAR in Week 6 (10th fewest points allowed to WRs); Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). DeVonta Smith is listed Out (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 5

Getting Josh Allen wins by 12.

DeVonta Smith 5769 Josh Allen

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DeVonta Smith

WR13PHIOut

57

value, #33

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
15.314.32.1

Josh Allen

QB1BUF

69

value, #27

Pts/game
22.8
Games left
11
Bye
7
Josh Allen weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
23.522.822.8

Where the values come from

Smith is the 13th receiver on the chart and 33rd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 57.

Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.

The weekly market prices

The market priced DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4 and 2.1 in Week 5, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DeVonta Smith has scored 48.5 PPR points in 3 games, 16.2 a game, 1.9 a game more than the 14.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 3, DeVonta Smith has averaged 9.0 targets and 6.3 catches for 78 yards a game on 93 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 3 games.

In Week 3 against CHI he had 8 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. DeVonta Smith has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

CAR, Smith's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th fewest to WRs of 32.

LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting DeVonta Smith would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Allen also costs that side a roster spot.

Tucker Kraft's player page

Other trades for DeVonta Smith and Josh Allen

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade DeVonta Smith for Josh Allen?

    Yes on value: Josh Allen is worth 69 and DeVonta Smith 57, a gain of 12. If DeVonta Smith starts for you and Josh Allen would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DeVonta Smith or Josh Allen?

    Josh Allen, 69 to 57. He rates 22.8 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.3 over 11 for DeVonta Smith, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number