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Trade Isaiah Likely for Josh Downs? Yes, Downs is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. Josh Downs is worth 22 rest of season and Isaiah Likely 10, so the side getting Downs gains 12. Likely rates 10.5 market points a game with 9 games left, Downs 11.5 with 9. On usage, Likely has drawn 27 percent of NYG targets; Downs has drawn 20 percent of IND targets. Likely is on bye in Week 8; Downs is at JAX in Week 8 (4th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Josh Downs wins by 12.

Isaiah Likely 1022 Josh Downs

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Isaiah Likely

TE9NYG

10

value, #71

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
9
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
9.29.410.513.012.3no projection

Josh Downs

WR26IND

22

value, #56

Pts/game
11.5
Games left
9
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
11.414.212.511.79.21.8

Where the values come from

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 71st overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 10.

Downs is the 26th receiver on the chart and 56th overall. His 11.5 a game is 2.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 22.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6, 9.2 in Week 7 and 1.8 in Week 8, a median of 11.5 points a game, down 9.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Isaiah Likely has scored 112.5 PPR points in 7 games, 16.1 a game, 5.6 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs HOU: 3.2 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Josh Downs has scored 57.4 PPR points in 7 games, 8.2 a game, 3.3 a game less than the 11.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs MIN: 3.8 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.0 targets and 5.9 catches for 56 yards a game on 76 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against HOU he had 4 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Josh Downs has averaged 6.6 targets and 3.7 catches for 44 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 10 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 7 games.

In Week 7 against MIN he had 4 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Isaiah Likely has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Josh Downs has 9 games with his bye in Week 13.

JAX, Downs's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 38.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Isaiah Likely would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Downs also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

Other trades for Isaiah Likely and Josh Downs

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Isaiah Likely for Josh Downs?

    Yes on value: Josh Downs is worth 22 and Isaiah Likely 10, a gain of 12. If Isaiah Likely starts for you and Josh Downs would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Isaiah Likely or Josh Downs?

    Josh Downs, 22 to 10. He rates 11.5 market points a game over 9 games left, against 10.5 over 9 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number