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Trade Isaiah Likely for Michael Wilson? Close to even, 11 to 17.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Isaiah Likely is 11 and Michael Wilson is 17, a 6 point edge to Wilson that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Likely rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 10.9 with 10. On usage, Likely has drawn 29 percent of NYG targets; Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets. Likely is at HOU in Week 7 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs); Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Isaiah Likely 1117 Michael Wilson

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Isaiah Likely

TE9NYG

11

value, #70

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
9.29.410.513.012.3

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Where the values come from

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 70th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 11.

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Isaiah Likely has scored 109.3 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 7.7 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.8 targets and 6-7 catches for 64 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against NO he had 11 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Isaiah Likely has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Michael Wilson has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

HOU, Likely's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 10.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Isaiah Likely and Michael Wilson

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Isaiah Likely for Michael Wilson?

    It is close to even: Isaiah Likely is 11 and Michael Wilson is 17 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Isaiah Likely or Michael Wilson?

    Michael Wilson, 17 to 11. He rates 10.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number