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Trade Isaiah Likely for Ollie Gordon II? Close to even, 11 to 18.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Isaiah Likely is 11 and Ollie Gordon II is 18, a 7 point edge to Gordon that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Likely rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Gordon 10.0 with 11. On usage, Likely has drawn 29 percent of NYG targets; Gordon has 36 percent of MIA carries and 4 percent of its targets. Likely is at HOU in Week 7 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs); Gordon is at NYJ in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Isaiah Likely 1118 Ollie Gordon II

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Isaiah Likely

TE9NYG

11

value, #70

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
9.29.410.513.012.3

Ollie Gordon II

RB25MIA

18

value, #61

Pts/game
10.0
Games left
11
Bye
6
Ollie Gordon II weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection10.2no projection9.7

Where the values come from

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 70th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 11.

Gordon is the 25th running back on the chart and 61st overall. His 10.0 a game is 1.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Ollie Gordon II at 10.2 in Week 5 and 9.7 in Week 7, a median of 10.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Isaiah Likely has scored 109.3 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 7.7 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Ollie Gordon II has scored 48.0 PPR points in 4 games, 12.0 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 10.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB68 with 54.1 PPR points in 17 games, 3.2 a game.

Week 2 vs SF: 0.7 points (RB76 that week), 7 rushing yards on 3 carries, 19 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs KC: 14.5 points (RB13 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIN: 18.0 points (RB16 that week), 100 rushing yards on 9 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CIN: 14.8 points (RB17 that week), 88 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 touchdown, 65 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.8 targets and 6-7 catches for 64 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against NO he had 11 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has averaged 9.4 carries for 47 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 3 yards a game on 48 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against CIN he had 18 carries and 0 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Isaiah Likely has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Ollie Gordon II has 11 games with no bye left.

HOU, Likely's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 10.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

NYJ, Gordon's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to RBs of 32.

Other trades for Isaiah Likely and Ollie Gordon II

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Isaiah Likely for Ollie Gordon II?

    It is close to even: Isaiah Likely is 11 and Ollie Gordon II is 18 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Isaiah Likely or Ollie Gordon II?

    Ollie Gordon II, 18 to 11. He rates 10.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 11:21 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number