Skip to main content
parlae.io
Sign in

Trade Saquon Barkley for Travis Kelce? Close to even, 28 to 25.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Saquon Barkley is 28 and Travis Kelce is 25, a 3 point edge to Barkley that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Barkley rates 11.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Kelce 11.9 with 10. On usage, Barkley has 34 percent of PHI carries and 6 percent of its targets; Kelce has drawn 20 percent of KC targets. Barkley is at WAS in Week 8 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs); Kelce is at DEN in Week 8 (9th most points allowed to TEs). Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (back).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

Saquon Barkley 2825 Travis Kelce

Advertisement

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

Give Barkley, get KelceGive Kelce, get Barkley

In a dynasty league? Run it in the dynasty trade calculator.

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

SleeperESPNYahoo

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Saquon Barkley

RB21PHIQuestionable

28

value, #46

Pts/game
11.4
Games left
9
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.513.63.9no projection11.33.4

Travis Kelce

TE4KC

25

value, #50

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
10
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.611.9no projection12.711.111.2

Where the values come from

Barkley is the 21st running back on the chart and 46th overall. His 11.4 a game is 3.1 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 28.

Kelce is the 4th tight end on the chart and 50th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.5 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5, 11.4 in Week 7 and 3.4 in Week 8, a median of 11.4 points a game, down 12.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3, 11.9 in Week 4, 12.7 in Week 6, 11.1 in Week 7 and 11.2 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, down 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

Saquon Barkley has scored 38.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.6 a game, 3.8 a game less than the 11.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DAL: 15.1 points (RB20 that week), 62 rushing yards on 7 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 16 percent of snaps.

Travis Kelce has scored 70.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 9.3 points (TE18 that week), 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs SEA: 8.4 points (TE20 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Saquon Barkley has averaged 8.6 carries for 49 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.2 catches for 3 yards a game on 33 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 7 against DAL he had 7 carries and 2 targets on 16 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.8 targets and 4.0 catches for 57 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against SEA he had 8 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Saquon Barkley has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Travis Kelce has 10 games with no bye left.

WAS, Barkley's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

DEN, Kelce's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 16.0 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 9th most to TEs of 32.

Other trades for Saquon Barkley and Travis Kelce

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Saquon Barkley for Travis Kelce?

    It is close to even: Saquon Barkley is 28 and Travis Kelce is 25 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Saquon Barkley or Travis Kelce?

    Saquon Barkley, 28 to 25. He rates 11.4 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.9 over 10 for Travis Kelce, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number