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Trade Travis Kelce for Tyler Warren? Close to even, 25 to 20.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Travis Kelce is 25 and Tyler Warren is 20, a 5 point edge to Kelce that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Kelce rates 11.9 market points a game with 10 games left, Warren 11.6 with 9. On usage, Kelce has drawn 20 percent of KC targets; Warren has drawn 22 percent of IND targets. Kelce is at DEN in Week 8 (9th most points allowed to TEs); Warren is at JAX in Week 8 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). Tyler Warren is listed Questionable (groin).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

Travis Kelce 2520 Tyler Warren

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Travis Kelce

TE4KC

25

value, #50

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
10
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.611.9no projection12.711.111.2

Tyler Warren

TE7INDQuestionable

20

value, #58

Pts/game
11.6
Games left
9
Bye
13
Tyler Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
10.912.812.313.31.810.1

Where the values come from

Kelce is the 4th tight end on the chart and 50th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.5 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 25.

Warren is the 7th tight end on the chart and 58th overall. His 11.6 a game is 2.2 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 20.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3, 11.9 in Week 4, 12.7 in Week 6, 11.1 in Week 7 and 11.2 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, down 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tyler Warren at 10.9 in Week 3, 12.8 in Week 4, 12.3 in Week 5, 13.3 in Week 6, 1.8 in Week 7 and 10.1 in Week 8, a median of 11.6 points a game, down 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Travis Kelce has scored 70.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 9.3 points (TE18 that week), 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs SEA: 8.4 points (TE20 that week), 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Tyler Warren has scored 69.9 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.4 a game more than the 11.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE4 with 188.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 10.3 points (TE14 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.4 points (TE10 that week), 3 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 14.7 points (TE10 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 9.1 points (TE21 that week), 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 21.4 points (TE5 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.8 targets and 4.0 catches for 57 yards a game on 78 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 7 against SEA he had 8 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Tyler Warren has averaged 0.6 carries for 1 yard and 7.2 targets and 6.0 catches for 43 yards a game on 91 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against PIT he had 1 carry and 9 targets on 94 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Travis Kelce has 10 games in it with no bye left; Tyler Warren has 9 games with his bye in Week 13.

DEN, Kelce's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 16.0 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 9th most to TEs of 32.

JAX, Warren's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 11.8 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

Other trades for Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Travis Kelce for Tyler Warren?

    It is close to even: Travis Kelce is 25 and Tyler Warren is 20 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Travis Kelce or Tyler Warren?

    Travis Kelce, 25 to 20. He rates 11.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 11.6 over 9 for Tyler Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number