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Should I start Derrick Henry or AJ Barner in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 4:41 PM ET.

Derrick Henry is the start on the latest market-based projection, 23.5 points to AJ Barner's 6.8. What follows is how each has been used this season.

Should I drop AJ Barner for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 156 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 10 games), AJ Barner 68 (6.8 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB2 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Overall rank
2

TE18 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size311 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 2nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 23.5 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Derrick Henry's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 58 percent of BAL snaps, taken 73 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 53 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 15 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have come 3.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 23 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 24 times for 102 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, AJ Barner has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 2.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and AJ Barner 8.7, 7.8 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 and AJ Barner TE14, which are two different ladders.

Derrick Henry is a running back and AJ Barner a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and AJ Barner in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Derrick Henry has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 156 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 10 games), AJ Barner 68 (6.8 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for AJ Barner?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 156 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 10 games), AJ Barner 68 (6.8 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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