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Start Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield

Start

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs BUF · Questionable

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
22.3
4th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
84%
Through Week 8
Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
16.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB
19.9
10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
96%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 17.4 points and Baker Mayfield at 16.0, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kyler Murray this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (17.3 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Baker Mayfield this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (16.0 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kyler Murray at ADP 139 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Kyler Murray yet. His market-based projections were 17.3 and 17.6 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Baker Mayfield yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.0 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Kyler Murray 1.4 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Kyler Murray and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 299 yards and 2-3 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 241 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray played 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 8 against DET: 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 36 yards.

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Kyler Murray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Baker Mayfield?

    No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield. Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

Should I drop Kyler Murray?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board