Should I start Bo Nix or Drew Lock in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Bo Nix's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

Drew Lock's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 38th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 107th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Lock, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Through Week 2, Drew Lock has been on the field for 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and thrown 7.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 8 of 51 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 14 yards.

In Week 2 against ARI he completed 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drew Lock played 5 games and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He threw for 15 yards on 3 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 0.6 attempts a game at 5.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Drew Lock 0.0, 18.6 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and Drew Lock QB73.

Bo Nix had 609 more pass attempts than Drew Lock, 612 to 3.

Bo Nix had 3916 more passing yards than Drew Lock, 3931 to 15.

This season Bo Nix holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Drew Lock in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.