Start Bo Nix or Drew Lock? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Bo Nix over Drew Lock in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.0 points and Drew Lock at 13.3, a gap of 2.7.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 210 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (14, 15, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Drew Lock, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Lock is 213 passing yards, 6 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (8, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Bo Nix 2.7 points ahead of Drew Lock on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Drew Lock and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Drew Lock has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Drew Lock is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 2, Drew Lock played 96 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 51 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Drew Lock, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 14 yards.

Drew Lock, Week 2 against ARI: 70 of 70 snaps, 19 of 26 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drew Lock played 5 games for SEA and scored 0.1 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing QB73.

He completed 2 of 3 passes for 15 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 6 times for -5 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bo Nix over Bryce Young.
• Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Drew Lock.
• Start Bryce Young over Drew Lock.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Drew Lock.