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Should I start Bo Nix or Jake Ferguson in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Jake Ferguson: Questionable to Out (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Jake Ferguson: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Bo Nix: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jake Ferguson's 63 percent of the snaps and 8 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Bo Nix?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Jake Ferguson 61 (7.6 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB18 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 3-5

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
125

TE24 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
6.3 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
126

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 126th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Bo Nix's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 66 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 48 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have averaged 5.0 air yards.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Jake Ferguson 11.1, 7.5 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Bo Nix is a quarterback and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Bo Nix?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Jake Ferguson 61 (7.6 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Jake Ferguson?

    No. Keep Bo Nix: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Jake Ferguson 61 (7.6 a game over 8 games). Jake Ferguson is listed out.

Should I drop Bo Nix?Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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