Should I start Bo Nix or Justice Hill in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Bo Nix's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 118th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 105th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 106th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 268 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he completed 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 75 yards.

In Week 8 against KC he completed 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 12.1 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Bo Nix is a quarterback and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

9.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.