Start Trevor Lawrence or Dak Prescott? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence
- Market projects
- 19.2
- recent weeks avg
- IND D vs QB
- 18.1
- 12th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 17.1
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs QB
- 17.3
- 16th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 9 game.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 19.2 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.1, a gap of 2.0. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 19.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.3, 17.4 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Trevor Lawrence at 97.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 17.4 and 21.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 19.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Trevor Lawrence is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 9 and 11 market sources).
That puts Dak Prescott 2.0 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Dak Prescott and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
IND allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 227 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.
Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.
BAL allowed 17.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against BAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.
Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 330 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.
Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.
Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.
Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.
Through Week 8, Trevor Lawrence played 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.
Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.
He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.
He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Dak Prescott for Trevor Lawrence?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence. So make the move after his Week 9 game.
Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Dak Prescott?
No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 9 games), Dak Prescott 146 (18.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dak Prescott over Trevor Lawrence.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Trevor Lawrence playing Week 9?
- Is Dak Prescott playing Week 9?
- Jaguars depth chart
- Cowboys depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings