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Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Matthew Stafford in Week 8?

Updated Oct 28, 8:46 PM ET.

Week 8 verdict

Start

QB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects
17.9
fantasy pts
IND D vs QB
18.1
12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
84 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · LAR · vs LAC

Market projects
17.4
fantasy pts
LAC D vs QB
15.2
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
27 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 7
Start Lawrence or Stafford? The full Week 8 breakdown

Start Trevor Lawrence over Matthew Stafford in Week 8: 17.9 to 17.4 projected PPR points. Stafford faces LAC, which allows the 7th fewest fantasy points to QBs.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Matthew Stafford, 17.9 to 17.4 projected PPR points.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB9 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
18.0 pts a game

QB11 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 4-3

Overall rank
86

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The gap

  • Board size305 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trevor Lawrence, and the board ranks him 76th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Trevor Lawrence's market-based projection is 18.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 17.4 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 13 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Matthew Stafford's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 97 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 200 times and thrown 8.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 32 of 200 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he completed 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 25 yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he completed 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

Through Week 7, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 290 times and thrown 8.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 43 of 290 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 5 against BUF he completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 6 against ARI he completed 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 7 against LV he completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Trevor Lawrence 20.6, 0.5 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Matthew Stafford QB3.

Matthew Stafford had 37 more pass attempts than Trevor Lawrence, 597 to 560.

Matthew Stafford had 700 more passing yards than Trevor Lawrence, 4707 to 4007.

This season Matthew Stafford holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 97 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Matthew Stafford has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Trevor Lawrence?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Matthew Stafford, 17.9 to 17.4 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Matthew Stafford?

    No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Matthew Stafford 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Matthew Stafford, 17.9 to 17.4 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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