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Start Drake Maye or Caleb Williams? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Drake Maye over Caleb Williams

Start

Drake Maye

QB · NE · vs GB

Market projects
18.5
fantasy pts
GB D vs QB
14.3
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB
14.7
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
97%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Caleb Williams for Drake Maye?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Drake Maye 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Caleb Williams.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Drake Maye over Caleb Williams in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Drake Maye at 18.5 points and Caleb Williams at 18.0, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Caleb Williams this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (18.0, 18.5 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Drake Maye at ADP 50 and Caleb Williams at 87.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Drake Maye, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drake Maye is 230 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 26 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (10, 11, 10 and 6 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Caleb Williams yet. His market-based projections were 18.0, 18.5 and 17.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Drake Maye 0.5 points ahead of Caleb Williams on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Drake Maye and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.3 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 14.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Drake Maye played 97 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 275 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 5 against LV: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 6 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 7 against CHI: 54 of 54 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 321 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 26 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 8 against MIA: 16 of 20 passes for 199 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 7 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Drake Maye?

    Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Drake Maye 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Caleb Williams.

  • Should I drop Drake Maye for Caleb Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games) and Caleb Williams 148 (18.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Drake Maye over Caleb Williams.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board